Oljederivat veddemålet - utviklingen
En tråd bare for meg for å poste tall og annet angående utviklingen av oljederivat veddemålet.
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Resultat i USD Resultat i NOK
2019-Q1: − 9 533 100 − 78 598 000
2019-Q2: − 10 719 750 − 88 817 000
2019-Q3: − 2 547 750 − 22 078 000
2019-Q4: − 2 553 630
14.02.2020: − 14 398 925 (Vistin)
14.02.2020: − 15 262 500 (marked)
Resultatene i NOK er fra side 16 i Vistins 2019-Q1, 2019-Q2, og 2019-Q3 rapporter.
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ICE SING380
Des19: https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFZ19/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ19/interactive-chart
Jan20: https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFF20/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEF20/interactive-chart
Feb20: https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFG20/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEG20/interactive-chart
Mar20: https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFH20/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEH20/interactive-chart
Apr20: https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFJ20/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEJ20/interactive-chart
Des20: https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LFZ20/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ20/interactive-chart
ICE kurser, 10 minutter forsinket:
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LF*0/futures-prices (Strømmes)
https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures/data?marketId=1 (Statisk, oppdater med F5)
ICE sluttkurser og endringer, for alle måneder frem til Des25:
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/european-gasoil-ice-futures_quotes_settlements_futures.html
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LF*1/futures-prices
ICE produkt- og kontrakt-spesifikasjoner:
https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/european-gasoil-ice-futures_contract_specifications.html
SING380 sluttkurser og endringer, for alle måneder frem til Des20:
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_quotes_settlements_futures.html
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSE*0/futures-prices
SING380 produkt- og kontrakt-spesifikasjoner:
https://www.theice.com/products/6753551/Fuel-Oil-380-CST-Singapore-Future
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_contract_specifications.html
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_quotes_globex.html
Minimum 10 minutter forsinket
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https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ19/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEF20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEG20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEH20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEJ20/price-history/latest-trades
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JSEZ20/price-history/latest-trades
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Siste future
handelsdag ICE SING380
Des19: 12.12.2019 31.12.2019
Jan20: 10.01.2020 31.01.2020
Feb20: 12.02.2020 28.02.2020
Mar20: 12.03.2020 31.03.2020
Apr20: 08.04.2020 30.04.2020
Des20: 10.12.2020 31.12.2020
ICE: (settlement/oppgjør = T+0)
https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures/expiry (Europa)
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/european-gasoil-ice-futures_product_calendar_futures.html (USA)
Last Trading Day: Trading shall cease at 12:00 hours London Time, 2 business days prior to the 14th calendar day of the delivery month.
https://www.theice.com/products/34361119/Low-Sulphur-Gasoil-Futures
SING380: (settlement/oppgjør = T+2)
https://www.theice.com/products/6753551/Fuel-Oil-380-CST-Singapore-Future/expiry (Europa)
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/singapore-380cst-fuel-oil-platts-swap-futures_product_calendar_futures.html (USA)
Last Trading Day: Last Trading Day of the contract month.
https://www.theice.com/products/6753551/Fuel-Oil-380-CST-Singapore-Future
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Linker til 3 relaterte innlegg postet på andre VISTIN tråder:
https://finansavisen.no/forum/thread/27405/view/507725
https://finansavisen.no/forum/thread/42671/view/990785
https://finansavisen.no/forum/thread/42671/view/1024652
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Inngangsverdier for oljederivat veddemålet:
Des19: 15.000 mt á 345,10 USD/mt
Jan20: 15.000 mt á 345,10 USD/mt
Feb20: 15.000 mt á 345,10 USD/mt
Mar20: 15.000 mt á 345,10 USD/mt
Apr20: 15.000 mt á 345,10 USD/mt
Des20: 75.000 mt á 337,00 USD/mt
Inngangverdien for hele veddemålet i USD = (345,10 + 337,00) USD/mt × 75.000 mt = USD 51.157.500
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Spreads per 31.03.2019, i følge side 16 i 2019-Q1 rapporten:
Des19: 267,15 - 345,10 = − 77,95
Jan20: 276,32 - 345,10 = − 68,78
Feb20: 283,40 - 345,10 = − 61,70
Mar20: 287,03 - 345,10 = − 58,07
Apr20: 288,26 - 345,10 = − 56,84
Des20: 274,56 - 337,00 = − 62,44
2019-Q1 rapportens spreads per søndag 31.03.2019 er 100% identiske med Barchart.com sine spreads per fredag 29.03.2019:
http://vxz.eu/2019-03-31__VISTIN-vs-BARCHART__Des19+Jan20+Feb20+Mar20+Apr20+Des20_siste-halvår_H
Hele veddemålets verdi per 31.03.2019:
USD (267,15 × 15.000) + (276,32 × 15.000) + (283,40 × 15.000) + (287,03 × 15.000) + (288,26 × 15.000) + (274,56 × 75.000)
= USD 41 624 400
Endring pr 31.03.2019 siden inngangen = USD 41 624 400 - 51 157 500 = USD - 9 533 100
I følge side 16 i 2019-Q1 rapporten var endringen i NOK per 31.03.2019 = NOK - 78 598 000
Gir USD/NOK = 8,2447 (Norges Banks offisielle kurs = 8,5972)
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Spreads per 30.06.2019, i følge side 16 i 2019-Q2 rapporten:
Des19: 270,20 - 345,10 = − 74,90
Jan20: 276,10 - 345,10 = − 69,00
Feb20: 278,83 - 345,10 = − 66,27
Mar20: 279,35 - 345,10 = − 65,75
Apr20: 278,87 - 345,10 = − 66,23
Des20: 262,50 - 337,00 = − 74,50
2019-Q2 rapportens spreads per søndag 30.06.2019 er 100% identiske med Barchart.com sine spreads per fredag 28.06.2019:
http://vxz.eu/2019-06-30__VISTIN-vs-BARCHART__Des19+Jan20+Feb20+Mar20+Apr20+Des20_siste-halvår_H
Hele veddemålets verdi per 30.06.2019:
USD (270,20 × 15.000) + (276,10 × 15.000) + (278,83 × 15.000) + (279,35 × 15.000) + (278,87 × 15.000) + (262,50 × 75.000)
= USD 40 437 750
Endring pr 30.06.2019 siden inngangen = USD 40 437 750 - 51 157 500 = USD - 10 719 750
I følge side 16 i 2019-Q2 rapporten var endringen i NOK per 30.06.2019 = NOK - 88 817 000
Gir USD/NOK = 8,2854 (Norges Banks offisielle kurs = 8,5183)
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Spreads per 30.09.2019, i følge side 16 i 2019-Q3 rapporten:
Des19: 352,80 - 345,10 = + 7,70
Jan20: 353,03 - 345,10 = + 7,93
Feb20: 348,73 - 345,10 = + 3,63
Mar20: 342,24 - 345,10 = − 2,86
Apr20: 336,00 - 345,10 = − 9,10
Des20: 301,57 - 337,00 = − 35,43
2019-Q3 rapportens spreads per mandag 30.09.2019 er 100% identiske med Barchart.com sine spreads per 30.06.2019:
http://vxz.eu/2019-09-30__VISTIN-vs-BARCHART__Des19+Jan20+Feb20+Mar20+Apr20+Des20_siste-halvår_H
Hele veddemålets verdi per 30.09.2019:
USD (352,80 × 15.000) + (353,03 × 15.000) + (348,73 × 15.000) + (342,24 × 15.000) + (336,00 × 15.000) + (301,57 × 75.000)
= USD 48 609 750
Endring pr 30.09.2019 siden inngangen = USD 48 609 750 - 51 157 500 = USD - 2 547 750
I følge side 16 i 2019-Q3 rapporten var endringen i NOK per 30.09.2019 = NOK - 22 078 000
Gir USD/NOK = 8,6657 (Norges Banks offisielle kurs = 9,0874)
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Fortsetter i neste innlegg da TS innlegget har nådd nær maksimal lengde HO tillater ...
Redigert 21.01.2021 kl 07:46
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Redigert 13.02.2020 kl 01:45
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Redigert 14.02.2020 kl 23:10
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Redigert 14.02.2020 kl 23:13
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Redigert 17.02.2020 kl 01:15
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17.02.2020: Ingen SING380 handel pga US helligdag "Washington's Birthday"
http://vxz.eu/2020-02-18__VISTIN__[8]_ICE+SING380-futures_final_T52
http://vxz.eu/2020-02-18__VISTIN__[8]_ICE+SING380-futures_final_T52
Redigert 21.02.2020 kl 02:31
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Redigert 21.02.2020 kl 02:34
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Redigert 23.02.2020 kl 00:45
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VISTINs status etter handelslutt 21.02.2029:
30.09.2019: USD - 2 547 825 (2019-Q3)
31.12.2019: USD - 2 553 630 (2019-Q4)
29.11.2019: USD - 768 690 [markedet = USD - 832 785] (laveste etter 01.01.2019)
02.12.2019: USD - 1 341 525 [markedet = USD - 1 468 155] (nest laveste etter 01.01.2019)
26.12.2019: USD - 1 508 130 [markedet = USD - 2 243 985] (3. laveste etter 01.01.2019)
20.01.2020: (ingen SING380 handel, US helligdag "Martin Luther King, Jr. Day")
21.01.2020: USD - 9 017 115 [markedet = USD - 9 795 105]
22.01.2020: USD - 10 751 385 [markedet = USD - 11 529 375]
23.01.2020: USD - 11 581 485 [markedet = USD - 12 359 475]
24.01.2020: USD - 11 102 670 [markedet = USD - 11 880 660]
27.01.2020: USD - 12 241 320 [markedet = USD - 13 019 310]
28.01.2020: USD - 11 295 285 [markedet = USD - 12 073 275]
29.01.2020: USD - 12 129 135 [markedet = USD - 12 907 125]
30.01.2020: USD - 12 526 305 [markedet = USD - 13 304 295]
31.01.2020: USD - 12 543 255 [markedet = USD - 13 321 245]
03.02.2020: USD - 13 327 830 [markedet = USD - 14 105 820]
04.02.2020: USD - 13 531 740 [markedet = USD - 14 309 730]
05.02.2020: USD - 12 459 105 [markedet = USD - 13 237 095]
06.02.2020: USD - 12 774 990 [markedet = USD - 13 552 980]
07.02.2020: USD - 12 472 950 [markedet = USD - 13 250 940]
10.02.2020: USD - 13 440 510 [markedet = USD - 14 218 500]
11.02.2020: USD - 13 937 985 [markedet = USD - 14 715 975]
12.02.2020: USD - 14 270 750 [markedet = USD - 15 095 250]
13.02.2020: USD - 14 254 124 [markedet = USD - 15 069 855]
14.02.2020: USD - 14 398 925 [markedet = USD - 15 262 500]
17.02.2020: (ingen SING380 handel, US helligdag "Washington's Birthday")
18.02.2020: USD - 14 875 635 [markedet = USD - 15 912 060]
19.02.2020: USD - 14 594 196 [markedet = USD - 15 526 020]
20.02.2020: USD - 14 667 667 [markedet = USD - 15 626 505]
21.02.2020: USD - 15 362 852 [markedet = USD - 16 568 565]
http://vxz.eu/2020-02-21__VISTIN__[8]_ICE+SING380-futures_final_T52